Βόμβα από τις Βρυξέλλες για την έξοδο από το Ευρώ

Από factorx στις 11/06/2012

Μετεκλογική βόμβα ετοιμάζεται να εξαπολύσει η Ευρωπαϊκή Ένωση καθώς σύμφωνα με πληροφορίες, υπάρχει έτοιμο σχέδιο για την περίπτωση νίκης του Αλέξη Τσίπρα και εξόδου της Ελλάδας από το ευρώ. Το σχέδιο προβλέπει τον περιορισμό στις αναλήψεις από όλα τα ATM της Ευρώπης, τον διασυνοριακό έλεγχο των κεφαλαίων, έλεγχο στα σύνορα και μια σειρά άλλων κινήσεων που θα περιορίσουν το bank run που υποθέτουν ότι θα δημιουργηθεί.

Την πληροφορία για σχέδιο εκτάκτου ανάγκης επιβεβαίωσαν αξιωματούχοι της ΕΕ μιλώντας στο Reuters και επιβεβαίωσαν επίσης ότι εδώ και μερικές εβδομάδες υπάρχουν συσκέψεις για το ενδεχόμενο εκλογής του ΣΥΡΙΖΑ στις 17 Ιουνίου.

Μεταξύ των μέτρων που συζητήθηκαν είναι επίσης το ενδεχόμενο της αναστολής της συμφωνίας του Σένγκεν, που επιτρέπει τα ταξίδια χωρίς βίζα μεταξύ 26 χωρών, συμπεριλαμβανομένων των περισσότερων της Ευρωπαϊκής Ένωσης. «Ο σχεδιασμός έκτακτης ανάγκης για ένα σενάριο εξόδου της Ελλάδας από το ευρώ βρίσκεται σε εξέλιξη», δήλωσε μια από τις πηγές, η οποία έχει εμπλακεί στις τηλεδιασκέψεις.

Παρά το γεγονός ότι κανείς δε γνωρίζει το αποτέλεσμα των εκλογών κι όλα είναι ντέρμπι, εντούτοις φαίνεται ότι και η Τράπεζα της Ελλάδος έχει γίνει κοινωνός του σχεδίου εκτάκτου ανάγκης που αποφασίστηκε στις Βρυξέλλες.

Ήδη, πάντως στις τράπεζες υπάρχει μαζικό κύμα αναλήψεων και ειδικά αυτή και την επόμενη εβδομάδα (σε περίπτωση εκλογής του Αλέξη Τσίπρα) θα κριθούν τα πάντα για τις τράπεζες.

Διαβάστε και τι γράφαμε τις προάλλες: Τραπεζικό “μπλακ άουτ” σε εξέλιξη

Το τηλεγράφημα του Reuters

EXCLUSIVE-UPDATE 1-Euro zone discussed capital controls if Greek exits euro -sources

* Euro zone officials have discussed options in case of Greek euro exit

* Limits on ATM withdrawals, capital controls among possibilities raised

* No decisions taken; officials want to be ready for worst-case scenarios

(Adds details)

By Luke Baker

BRUSSELS, June 11 (Reuters) – European finance officials have discussed limiting the size of withdrawals from ATM machines, imposing border checks and introducing euro zone capital controls as a worst-case scenario should Athens decide to leave the euro.

EU officials have told Reuters the ideas are part of a range of contingency plans. They emphasised that the discussions were merely about being prepared for any eventuality rather than planning for something they expect to happen – no one Reuters has spoken to expects Greece to leave the single currency area.

But with increased political uncertainty in Greece following the inconclusive election on May 6 and ahead of a second election on June 17, there is now an increased need to have contingencies in place, the EU sources said.

The discussions have taken place in conference calls over the past six weeks, as concerns have grown that a radical-left coalition, SYRIZA, may win the second election, increasing the risk that Greece could renege on its EU/IMF bailout and therefore move closer to abandoning the currency.

No decisions have been taken on the calls, but members of the Eurogroup Working Group, which consists of euro zone deputy finance ministers and heads of treasury departments, have discussed the options in some detail, the sources said.

Belgium’s finance minister, Steve Vanackere, said at the end of May that it was a function of each euro zone state to be prepared for problems. These discussions have been in that vein, with the specific aim of limiting a bank run or capital flight.

As well as limiting cash withdrawals and imposing capital controls, they have discussed the possibility of suspending the Schengen agreement, which allows for visa-free travel among 26 countries, including most of the European Union.

“Contingency planning is underway for a scenario under which Greece leaves,” one of the sources, who has been involved in the conference calls, said. “Limited cash withdrawals from ATMs and limited movement of capital have been considered and analysed.”

Another source confirmed the discussions, including that the suspension of Schengen was among the options raised.

“These are not political discussions, these are discussions among finance experts who need to be prepared for any eventuality,” the second source said. “It is sensible planning, that is all, planning for the worst-case scenario.”

The first official said it was still being examined whether there was a legal basis for such extreme measures.

“The Bank of Greece is not aware of any such plans,” a central bank spokesman in Athens told Reuters when asked about the sources’ comments.

The vast majority of Greeks – some surveys have indicated 75 to 80 percent – like the euro and want to retain the currency, something Greek politicians are aware of and which may dissuade them from pushing the country too close to the brink.

However, SYRIZA is expected to win or come a strong second on June 17. Alexis Tsipras, the party’s 37-year-old leader, has said he plans to tear up or heavily renegotiate the 130-billion-euro bailout agreed with the European Union and International Monetary Fund. The EU and IMF have said they are not prepared to renegotiate.

If those differences cannot be resolved, the threat of the country leaving or being forced out of the euro will remain, andhence the need for contingencies to be in place.

Switzerland said last month it was considering introducing capital controls if the euro falls apart.

In a conference call on May 21, the Eurogroup Working Group told euro zone member states that they should each have a plan in place if Greece were to leave the currency.

Belgium’s Vanackere said two days after that call that it was a basic function of each euro zone member state to be prepared for any eventuality.

“All the contingency plans (for Greece) come back to the same thing: to be responsible as a government is to foresee even what you hope to avoid,” he told reporters.

“We must insist on efforts to avoid an exit scenario but that doesn’t mean we are not preparing for eventualities.”

(Additional reporting by Martin Santa in Bratislava and George

Georgiopoulos in Athens; Writing by Luke Baker; Editing by

Jeremy Gaunt and Catherine Evans)

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